Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.888185 1.000202 1.122380 1.265775 1.429762 1.611792 1.829635
2025-01-12 0.708937 0.858598 1.035475 1.260940 1.542124 1.883071 2.330580
2025-01-19 0.587860 0.745846 0.942452 1.206942 1.556244 2.005631 2.633773
2025-01-26 0.529709 0.698613 0.918090 1.227114 1.655703 2.236012 3.092978
2025-02-02 0.486110 0.662786 0.901071 1.250139 1.755492 2.471390 3.581825
2025-02-09 0.446539 0.626802 0.878010 1.259139 1.832427 2.678251 4.050018
2025-02-16 0.412569 0.594457 0.855515 1.264398 1.901317 2.876847 4.525833
2025-02-23 0.388395 0.573471 0.846557 1.287322 1.997091 3.123798 5.105868
2025-03-02 0.354098 0.533929 0.805676 1.255853 2.002069 3.224396 5.451866
2025-03-09 0.337049 0.519141 0.801045 1.280617 2.099518 3.485051 6.104190
2025-03-16 0.313837 0.492551 0.775218 1.267592 2.130991 3.634996 6.574092
2025-03-23 0.297728 0.475965 0.763884 1.277272 2.201604 3.859310 7.208787
2025-03-30 0.277296 0.451069 0.737425 1.259481 2.223375 4.000933 7.710176
2025-04-06 0.260445 0.430934 0.717431 1.251307 2.261929 4.178194 8.308191
2025-04-13 0.237785 0.399133 0.674790 1.198097 2.210004 4.174920 8.529287
2025-04-20 0.228836 0.390506 0.672025 1.218070 2.300344 4.461086 9.408444
2025-04-27 0.221005 0.383223 0.670970 1.240911 2.398203 4.772762 10.388555
2025-05-04 0.211791 0.372738 0.663184 1.249837 2.468394 5.033916 11.290461
2025-05-11 0.202785 0.361975 0.654013 1.255052 2.531066 5.285371 12.206017
2025-05-18 0.196651 0.356122 0.653624 1.277789 2.633007 5.634599 13.414479
2025-05-25 0.184435 0.337907 0.628125 1.246578 2.614182 5.707684 13.933182
2025-06-01 0.179544 0.333465 0.629210 1.271138 2.721729 6.086144 15.309276
2025-06-08 0.170832 0.320983 0.613423 1.258221 2.742584 6.260310 16.161842